🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner

How the prediction-market book is pricing "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Scottie Scheffler 21% Rory McIlroy 9% Xander Schauffele 7% Sam Burns 6% Volume: $61K Liquidity: $312K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
Open live market →
PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 21% 79% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 21% 79% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler21%
Rory McIlroy9%
Xander Schauffele7%
Sam Burns6%
Wyndham Clark5%
Collin Morikawa5%
Ludvig Aberg4%
Tommy Fleetwood4%
Chris Gotterup4%
Russell Henley4%
Viktor Hovland4%
Cameron Young4%
Matt Fitzpatrick3%
Si Woo Kim3%
Hideki Matsuyama3%
Ryan Gerard2%
Tom Kim2%
Justin Rose2%
J.J. Spaun2%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Jacob Bridgeman1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Ryan Fox1%
Min Woo Lee1%
Kristoffer Reitan1%
Adam Scott1%
Alex Smalley1%
Bud Cauley0%
Rickie Fowler0%
Kurt Kitayama0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pga tour: tour championship winner stands at 21% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

Trade PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports