Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery Set 2 Winner | 100% Burruchaga | 0% Fery |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery | 0% Roman Andres Burruchaga | 100% Arthur Fery |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% Burruchaga | 100% Fery |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% Fery | 100% Burruchaga |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery. This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Andres Burruchaga and Arthur Fery in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…
Methodology
We track Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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