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Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg

Five-platform snapshot of "Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg 100% Completed Match 100% Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $538K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg100%
Completed Match100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 Winner100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 21.5100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 22.5100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 23.5100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 Winner0%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg. This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Max Hans Rehberg in the Braunschweig, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' i…

Methodology

We track Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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