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US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo 87% US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 1 Winner 80% US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 2 Winner 78% US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set Handicap +/-1.5 64% Volume: $157K Liquidity: $88K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo87%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 1 Winner80%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 2 Winner78%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set Handicap +/-1.564%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Game Spread +/-5.553%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Match O/U 21.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 1 O/U 8.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Match O/U 22.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Match O/U 23.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Set 1 O/U 10.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo Total Sets: O/U 2.528%

Market context

Market consensus: 87% chance of us open, qualification atp: hugo gaston vs guido justo. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Guido Justo in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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