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Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker

Five-platform snapshot of "Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker 100% Completed Match 100% Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set 1 Winner 100% Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $146K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker100%
Completed Match100%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set 1 Winner100%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set 2 Winner100%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Game Spread +/-1.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Match O/U 21.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Match O/U 22.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Match O/U 23.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, buenos aires 2: facundo mena vs nicolas kicker stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Mena and Nicolas Kicker in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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Related Topics

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