Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Game Spread +/-2.5 | 74% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Match O/U 22.5 | 47% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 Winner | 40% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios | 22% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open, qualification atp: daniel rincon vs tomas barrios stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Tomas Barrios in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This mark…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas B… on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →