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San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado

Five-platform snapshot of "San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner 100% San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $606K Liquidity: $470K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner100%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 21.5100%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 22.5100%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 23.5100%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado0%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 Winner0%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set Handicap +/-1.50%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 10.50%
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to san marino: daniel rincon vs juan carlos prado. This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Juan Carlos Prado in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets