Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of piracicaba: gonzalo villanueva vs thiago seyboth wild. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Villanueva and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Piracicaba, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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