Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CA Mineiro (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CA Mineiro (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Corinthians and Atlético Mineiro are scheduled to meet in Brazil's top division on 24 May at 5:30 PM ET. The 0% implied probability on this contract suggests traders are pricing near-zero likelihood that additional markets will be offered for the fixture on prediction platforms. This divergence from typical sportsbook behaviour—where major Brazilian league matches routinely spawn multiple betting options—warrants examination of what "more markets" entails and whether platform operators view this particular matchup as commercially viable.
Historical precedent shows that Série A fixtures between established clubs ordinarily generate expansive market menus across both traditional bookmakers and prediction platforms. Corinthians and Mineiro's fixture history includes consistent availability of goal-scorer, corner-count, and card-accumulation markets. The 0% reading suggests either that this specific settlement window has already closed to new market creation, or that traders anticipate platform restrictions on Brazilian football offerings. Recent regulatory shifts in Brazil's gambling sector have prompted some operators to consolidate rather than expand market depth for domestic leagues.
Traders should monitor official announcements from major prediction-market operators regarding Brazil Série A coverage through late May. Platform liquidity decisions often hinge on aggregate user demand and compliance requirements rather than match significance alone. The settlement window closes 24 May at 21:30 UTC, leaving a narrow window for market expansion decisions. Any clarification from operators on whether additional markets will launch—or confirmation that the core match contract is the sole offering—would represent the primary catalyst reshaping current pricing.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $77K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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