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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 96% O/U 1.5 87% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 86% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 0.5 82% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $2.3M Closes: 5 Sept 2026
Open live market →
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
O/U 1.587%
2nd Half O/U 0.586%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 0.582%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund O/U 0.581%
1st Half O/U 0.579%
Both Teams to Score70%
O/U 2.568%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2nd Half O/U 0.564%
2nd Half O/U 1.559%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1st Half O/U 0.554%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1st Half O/U 0.553%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 1.552%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund O/U 1.552%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1st Half (-2.5)50%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1st Half (-2.5)50%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1st Half O/U 1.549%
1st Half O/U 1.547%
2nd Half O/U 2.547%
O/U 3.546%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1st Half O/U 1.546%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2nd Half (-1.5)43%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half39%
Both Teams to Score in First Half29%
O/U 4.526%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 2.526%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund O/U 2.524%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2nd Half O/U 1.523%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)20%
1st Half O/U 2.520%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)19%
O/U 5.514%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1st Half (-1.5)10%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1st Half (-1.5)10%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)8%
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)8%

Market context

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 20% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-05T13:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

This page reviews TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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