Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 30.5 | 92% |
| O/U 32.5 | 90% |
| O/U 36.5 | 87% |
| O/U 38.5 | 86% |
| O/U 34.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| O/U 40.5 | 76% |
| O/U 42.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 66% |
| O/U 44.5 | 65% |
| O/U 46.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| O/U 48.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| California O/U 24.5 | 55% |
| Clemson vs. California | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| O/U 50.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Clemson O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| California O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Clemson O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Clemson O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| California O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Clemson 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Clemson 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Clemson 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| California 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| California 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| California 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Clemson 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Clemson 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Clemson 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| California 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| California 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| California 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Clemson O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Clemson O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Clemson vs. California: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Clemson vs. California: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| California Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Clemson vs. California: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| California Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| California Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| California Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| California Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| California Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| California Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| California Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| California Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| California Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| California Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| California Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Clemson 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Clemson 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| California 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| California 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| California Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| California Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| California Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| California Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| California Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| California Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Clemson Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| California Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| California Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| California Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Clemson vs. California: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Clemson vs. California: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Clemson vs. California: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| O/U 52.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| Clemson O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| O/U 54.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 40% |
| California O/U 27.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| O/U 56.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| Clemson O/U 30.5 | 33% |
| California O/U 30.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 58.5 | 30% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| O/U 60.5 | 24% |
| Spread -11.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 23% |
| Spread -12.5 | 21% |
| Spread -12.5 | 21% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| O/U 64.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 19% |
| O/U 62.5 | 17% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| O/U 66.5 | 13% |
| Spread -15.5 | 12% |
| O/U 68.5 | 11% |
| Spread -18.5 | 10% |
| O/U 70.5 | 10% |
| Spread -22.5 | 8% |
Market context
Market consensus: 92% chance of clemson vs. california. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Clemson and California, scheduled for September 25 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Clemson" if Clemson win the game. This …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $84K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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