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Nevada vs. North Dakota State

Five-platform snapshot of "Nevada vs. North Dakota State" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $186K Liquidity: $298K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Nevada vs. North Dakota State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
North Dakota State O/U 23.5100%
North Dakota State O/U 26.5100%
North Dakota State O/U 29.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 12.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 14.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3100%
Spread -9.5100%
Spread -11.5100%
Spread -12.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -7.5100%
3Q Moneyline100%
Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.591%
Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.590%
North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.590%
Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.590%
North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.590%
North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.590%
North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.590%
North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.590%
Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.590%
North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.590%
Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.590%
North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 14.590%
Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.590%
2H Spread -4.590%
4Q Spread -0.590%
4Q Spread -2.590%
4Q Spread -3.590%
4Q Spread -4.590%
4Q Spread -5.590%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
North Dakota State O/U 3.550%
Nevada O/U 1.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2H O/U 21.510%
2H O/U 24.510%
2H O/U 27.510%
2H O/U 30.510%
2H O/U 33.510%
4Q O/U 7.510%
4Q O/U 10.510%
4Q O/U 13.510%
4Q O/U 16.510%
4Q O/U 19.510%
Nevada 2H O/U 11.510%
Nevada 2H O/U 13.510%
Nevada 2H O/U 15.510%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 12.510%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 14.510%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 16.510%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q410%
Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.510%
Game Goes to Overtime10%
Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.510%
Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.510%
Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.510%
North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.510%
Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.510%
Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.510%
Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.510%
North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.510%
North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.510%
North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.510%
Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.510%
Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.510%
Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.510%
Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.510%
Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.510%
Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.510%
North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.510%
North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.510%
North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.510%
Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.510%
North Dakota State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.510%
Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
North Dakota State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.510%
North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.510%
Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.510%
Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.510%
North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 19.510%
North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 24.510%
Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.510%
Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.510%
Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.510%
North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 19.510%
North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 21.510%
North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 23.510%
2H Spread -6.510%
2H Spread -7.510%
2H Spread -8.510%
2H Spread -9.510%
2H Spread -11.510%
4Q Spread -7.510%
2H Moneyline10%
4Q Moneyline10%
Spread -0.51%
O/U 57.51%
Spread -28.51%
Nevada vs. North Dakota State0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
Nevada O/U 20.50%
Nevada O/U 23.50%
Nevada O/U 26.50%
Nevada O/U 29.50%
Nevada O/U 32.50%
North Dakota State O/U 32.50%
North Dakota State O/U 35.50%
Nevada 1H O/U 11.50%
Nevada 1H O/U 13.50%
Nevada 1H O/U 15.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -29.50%
Spread -30.50%
Spread -32.50%
Spread -33.50%
Spread -36.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -34.50%
1H Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of nevada vs. north dakota state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Nevada and North Dakota State, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game. Thi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Nevada vs. North Dakota State".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $186K.

Methodology

We track Nevada vs. North Dakota State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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