The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

MI London Women are facing Manchester Super Giants Women at the Kia Oval in a The Hundred fixture that has already been completed on the day, with Manchester Super Giants winning by six wickets after MI London were dismissed for 92 and the chase finished at 95 for 4.[9][10] That makes the contract’s current crowd-implied **0% YES** look aligned with the published result rather than a live pre-match view, because the market is tied to the final official scoreline on ESPNcricinfo.[8][10]

On comparable form, Manchester Super Giants have looked the stronger side across the 2026 competition, coming into this match with a far better points position and net run rate than MI London, who were winless after four games at one stage and sat near the foot of the table.[4][7] Manchester Super Giants had already beaten London Spirit and Sunrisers Leeds, with Smriti Mandhana’s unbeaten 88 in one of those wins reinforcing the batting depth that has underpinned their stronger profile in both the table and in match pricing.[14][17] By contrast, MI London’s low win total and negative net run rate have historically correlated with shorter odds against top-half opposition, so a zero-priced YES after the result is best read as a completed-event line rather than a genuine disagreement with analyst consensus.[4][7][10]

For traders, the main catalysts were the toss, team news, and whether the fixture would be completed without interruption, because The Hundred resolves on the final published result and ordinary on-field rulings still count as wins.[1][8] Manchester Super Giants won the toss and chose to field, which mattered in a chaseable Oval setting and is consistent with the earlier pattern of opting to bowl first in London.[1][15] Once the scorecard moved to 92 all out and the chase advanced to 89 for 3, the contract effectively depended only on whether the innings finished normally, not on any broader tournament context.[9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.