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Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 100% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $578K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.575%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.574%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.574%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.552%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.552%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)26%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)25%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)10%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between BESTIA and Fluxo W7M in the RES Showdown South America Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 7:00PM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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