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Counter-Strike: Color vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Color vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 2.5 Games 57% Map 1 Winner 51% Map 2 Winner 51% Match Winner 51% Volume: $129K Liquidity: $215K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Color vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 2.5 Games57%
Map 1 Winner51%
Map 2 Winner51%
Match Winner51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: Color (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)47%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: color vs misa esports (bo3) - esl challenger league europe cup #4 group b stands at 57% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Color and Misa Esports in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group B, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Color vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Ch… on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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