Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% Team Falcons | 100% BetBoom Team |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 0% Team Falcons | 100% BetBoom Team |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Team Falcons | 100% BetBoom Team |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Team Falcons | 100% BetBoom Team |
Market context
Team Falcons will face BetBoom Team in a Round 2 best-of-three match at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 on 12 June 2024. The fixture represents a significant test for both rosters within one of Counter-Strike's premier tournament structures. Team Falcons, the Saudi Arabian organisation, has established itself as a competitive force in recent international tournaments, whilst BetBoom Team, representing the CIS region, brings considerable experience from Eastern European circuit play. The match carries implications for both teams' progression through the Major's group stage.
The 0% implied probability on this contract diverges notably from typical sportsbook positioning for comparable Tier-1 Counter-Strike matches, where neither team would ordinarily receive zero-probability treatment. Historical precedent suggests that matches between established regional representatives rarely settle at extreme probabilities unless one roster has undergone significant roster changes or faces documented roster availability issues. The absence of recent public statements regarding player absences or technical complications makes the current market probability unusually compressed.
Traders should monitor official IEM Cologne communications regarding match scheduling confirmations, any last-minute roster substitutions, or venue-related delays through to the settlement window closure on 12 June at 21:10 UTC. The seven-day delay clause embedded in the resolution criteria creates material risk if fixture postponement occurs without clear rescheduling. Cross-platform comparison with established esports sportsbooks would reveal whether this probability reflects genuine information asymmetry or represents a liquidity artefact within this particular prediction market.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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