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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group D

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group D" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 100% Volume: $145K Liquidity: $361K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.599%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)74%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.573%
Match Winner72%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+9.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.548%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.527%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-12.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+12.5)27%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.510%
Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group D. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between SPARTA and MOUZ NXT in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group D, initially scheduled for July 13 at 9:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group D across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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