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Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $1.4M Liquidity: $687K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Any Player Ultra Kill90%
First Blood in Game 2?90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?25%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?10%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: aurora vs playtime (bo2) - esports world cup group b stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and PlayTime in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 10 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aur…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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