Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
10% | 90% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
10% | 90% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 2? | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 72.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 74.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
The DreamLeague Playoffs Grand Final will pit PARIVISION against Aurora in a best-of-five Dota 2 match on 24 May 2026. The 3% implied probability assigned to PARIVISION victory represents an extreme underdog position, suggesting Aurora enters as heavy favourites. This disparity warrants examination against available comparative data from sportsbooks and analyst assessments of both squads' recent form and head-to-head records.
PARIVISION's 3% odds place them amongst the longest shots in recent DreamLeague Grand Finals. Historical precedent shows that teams reaching Grand Finals rarely trade below 5% unless facing established tier-one opponents with demonstrable recent dominance. Aurora's path to the final and their performance against comparable opposition will determine whether the current probability reflects genuine capability gaps or market overconfidence. Comparable finals involving regional underdogs have occasionally resolved against consensus when preparation advantages or meta-specific drafting proved decisive.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions through to match start, as DreamLeague has experienced scheduling adjustments in prior seasons. Patch notes released between now and 24 May could favour either team's hero pool or strategic approach. Pre-match analysis from established Dota 2 commentators and team-affiliated sources will likely shift market perception if they identify specific tactical advantages for PARIVISION. The settlement window's seven-day grace period provides buffer for potential technical delays, though DreamLeague's infrastructure typically ensures completion on schedule.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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