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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5) 61% Both Teams Beat Roshan 59% Any Player Ultra Kill 57% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 53% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $204K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)61%
Both Teams Beat Roshan59%
Any Player Ultra Kill57%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Any Player Rampage52%
Ends in Daytime50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?47%
First Blood in Game 1?43%
O/U 2.5 Games35%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks26%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks26%
Game 2 Winner22%
Game 1 Winner21%
Match Winner14%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

Market consensus: 61% chance of dota 2: team resilience vs team yandex (bo3) - the international group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Resilience and Team Yandex in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET.…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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