Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| FC Utrecht (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Heerenveen (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Utrecht (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Heerenveen (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
FC Utrecht host SC Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on Thursday evening, with the “more markets” contract set against a near-unanimous lean towards Utrecht avoiding defeat in the match itself. Cross-platform signals are materially higher than the market’s current 0% YES: JohnnyBet has Utrecht at about -108 on the moneyline, FotMob says Utrecht are unbeaten in their last five against Heerenveen, and WhoScored notes Utrecht are undefeated in 17 of the last 18 meetings in all competitions. Historical head-to-head data also points to goals rather than caution, with FootyStats showing 63% of meetings above 2.5 goals and 79% both teams to score, even though the exact “more markets” line depends on the contract definition.
For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed line-ups and any late team news before the 19:00 UTC kick-off at Stadion Galgenwaard. Utrecht’s home record is a key input: recent previews note they have not lost in six straight home league matches, while Heerenveen’s defensive numbers remain a concern, conceding around 1.6 goals per match on average in recent form. The sharper divergence here is between the market’s zero implied YES price and the broader betting consensus, which is closer to a Utrecht-favoured, moderately high-scoring script than to a no-event outcome.
Methodology
We track FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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