Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| Qatar (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Republic of Ireland (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Republic of Ireland (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Qatar (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Ireland will face Qatar in a FIFA International Friendly on 28 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 2:45 PM ET. The fixture forms part of the international calendar in the lead-up to the 2026 World Cup, where both nations will be preparing for their respective tournament campaigns. Qatar qualified for the 2022 World Cup as hosts and has since competed in AFC qualifiers, whilst Ireland remains outside the World Cup qualification picture for 2026 and uses friendlies to develop squad depth and tactical approaches.
The 0% YES probability on this market reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty that additional markets will not be offered. Historical precedent shows that major sportsbooks routinely expand their market offerings for high-profile international fixtures, particularly those involving established football nations. Prediction markets covering "more markets" contracts typically settle YES when secondary or tertiary betting options (such as first goalscorer, corner totals, or player performance props) become available on major platforms. The current zero probability suggests either low trader confidence in expanded coverage or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful price.
Traders should monitor sportsbook announcements from major operators in the fortnight preceding the match. Betfair, DraftKings, and FanDuel typically publish extended market menus 7–10 days before international friendlies. The fixture's timing relative to World Cup preparation cycles and any squad announcements from either federation may influence bookmaker appetite for comprehensive coverage. Confirmation of squad lists and injury status, typically released in the week of the match, often triggers the final wave of market expansion.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $198K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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