Switzerland vs. Colombia - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup Round of 16 clash between Switzerland and Colombia will take place on Tuesday, 7 July at 4:00 PM ET at BC Place in Vancouver, with the market focused strictly on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. This fixture carries historical weight, as the two sides met in the 1994 World Cup where Colombia secured a 2–0 victory, a result that still frames how traders interpret the current 11% crowd-implied probability for a specific scoreline. Both teams entered this stage quietly impressive, having topped their groups without slipping out of third gear, with Colombia beating Ghana 1–0 and Switzerland overcoming Algeria comfortably, suggesting a tight contest where exact outcomes are notoriously volatile.

Traders should monitor the confirmed line-ups and any late injury announcements before kick-off, as both squads possess attacking firepower capable of causing defensive problems for any opponent. Recent coverage from ESPN highlights that Colombia’s early goal against Ghana and Switzerland’s two-goal lead against Algeria indicate both units are in strong form, yet the divergence between sportsbook odds favouring a draw or low-scoring outcome and the prediction market’s 11% implied probability for a specific score suggests meaningful pricing inefficiency. Analyst consensus leans towards a narrow result, but the lack of extra time or penalty shoot-outs in this contract means any deviation from the listed outcomes resolves to “Any Other Score,” making the catalyst of late team news critical for accurate positioning.

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Methodology

We track Switzerland vs. Colombia - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.