Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
17% | 83% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
17% | 83% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| Algeria (-2.5) | 17% Algeria | 84% Jordan |
| O/U 3.5 | 28% Over | 73% Under |
| Jordan (-2.5) | 1% Jordan | 99% Algeria |
| O/U 4.5 | 14% Over | 87% Under |
| Jordan (-1.5) | 5% Jordan | 95% Algeria |
| Algeria (-1.5) | 37% Algeria | 64% Jordan |
Market context
Jordan meet Algeria in a FIFA World Cup group-stage match scheduled for 23 June at 03:00 UTC, and the **17%** crowd-implied chance for “more markets” sits well below the broader match confidence in Algeria. Sportsbooks are broadly aligned on that direction: Algeria are around **-154 to -163** on the moneyline, with Jordan priced roughly **+450 to +567** and the draw near **+317**[3][4]. Kalshi’s related game market is also much higher on Algeria’s side, showing roughly **62%** on one outcome bucket versus **16%** on the least-favoured bucket, which suggests the market is treating Jordan as a clear underdog but not as a live favourite for an upset[7].
For historical context, this kind of **“more markets”** contract usually tracks whether a match produces extra listed outcomes rather than the final scoreline itself, so traders often lean on price signals from the main moneyline and totals market to infer how dynamic the game may be. Here, the near-2.5 total on oddscheckers and Yahoo’s pricing around **Over 2.5 (-104)** and **Under 2.5 (+104)** points to a middling scoring expectation rather than a strongly chaotic fixture[3][4]. That makes a low-teens to high-teens probability on a broad “more markets” concept look plausible if the contract depends on late-breaking ancillary announcements rather than the result alone[4].
The main catalysts before settlement are line-up news, any late injury or rotation updates, and whether the market’s “more markets” definition depends on match events, side markets, or group-stage dependencies. FIFA’s match-centre lists the fixture at **03:00 on 23 June 2026** in the San Francisco Bay Area, while Racing Post notes the same kick-off and venue context, so any odds move in the final hours will likely come from team news rather than schedule changes[5][1]. Because the market window runs to **03:00 UTC on 23 June**, traders should watch for confirmed squads and any pre-match news that could alter expected pace or scoring before settlement[5].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $154K.
Methodology
We track Jordan vs. Algeria - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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