Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Michael Brennan | 96% |
| Beau Hossler | 2% |
| Sung-Jae Im | 2% |
| Maverick McNealy | 2% |
| Zach Bauchou | 1% |
| Patrick Cantlay | 1% |
| Bud Cauley | 1% |
| Davis Chatfield | 1% |
| Trace Crowe | 1% |
| Joel Dahmen | 1% |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 1% |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 1% |
| Max Greyserman | 1% |
| Harry Hall | 1% |
| Rico Hoey | 1% |
| Tom Hoge | 1% |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 1% |
| Billy Horschel | 1% |
| Benjamin James | 1% |
| Tom Kim | 1% |
| Chris Kirk | 1% |
| Patton Kizzire | 1% |
| Brooks Koepka | 1% |
| Ben Kohles | 1% |
| Jackson Koivun | 1% |
| Matt McCarty | 1% |
| Alexander Noren | 1% |
| Andrew Novak | 1% |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 1% |
| John Parry | 1% |
| Marco Penge | 1% |
| Chandler Phillips | 1% |
| Aaron Rai | 1% |
| Kihei Akina | 0% |
| Daniel Berger | 0% |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 0% |
| Chandler Blanchet | 0% |
| Keegan Bradley | 0% |
| Blades Brown | 0% |
| Daniel Brown | 0% |
| Brian Campbell | 0% |
| Rafael Campos | 0% |
| Ricky Castillo | 0% |
| Luke Clanton | 0% |
| Eric Cole | 0% |
| Tyler Collet | 0% |
| Pierceson Coody | 0% |
| Cam Davis | 0% |
| Jason Day | 0% |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 0% |
| Adrien Dumont De Chassart | 0% |
| Nick Dunlap | 0% |
| Austin Eckroat | 0% |
| Harris English | 0% |
| A.J. Ewart | 0% |
| Tony Finau | 0% |
| Patrick Fishburn | 0% |
| Steven Fisk | 0% |
| Brice Garnett | 0% |
| Ryan Gerard | 0% |
| Doug Ghim | 0% |
| Lucas Glover | 0% |
| Ben Griffin | 0% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 0% |
| Brian Harman | 0% |
| Garrick Higgo | 0% |
| Joe Highsmith | 0% |
| Kensei Hirata | 0% |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 0% |
| Lee Hodges | 0% |
| Cooper Hrabak | 0% |
| Mark Hubbard | 0% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 0% |
| Stephan Jaeger | 0% |
| Takumi Kanaya | 0% |
| Jeffrey Kang | 0% |
| Johnny Keefer | 0% |
| Michael Kim | 0% |
| Christo Lamprecht | 0% |
| Henry Lebioda | 0% |
| Hao-Tong Li | 0% |
| David Lipsky | 0% |
| Peter Malnati | 0% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 0% |
| Stefano Mazzoli | 0% |
| Denny McCarthy | 0% |
| Max McGreevy | 0% |
| Mac Meissner | 0% |
| Keith Mitchell | 0% |
| Taylor Moore | 0% |
| William Mouw | 0% |
| Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 0% |
| Pontus Nyholm | 0% |
| Cheng Tsung Pan | 0% |
| Matthieu Pavon | 0% |
| Taylor Pendrith | 0% |
| JT Poston | 0% |
| Aldrich Potgieter | 0% |
| Seamus Power | 0% |
| Andrew Putnam | 0% |
| Player 0 | 0% |
| Player 1 | 0% |
| Player 2 | 0% |
| Player 3 | 0% |
| Player 4 | 0% |
| Player 5 | 0% |
| Player 6 | 0% |
| Player 7 | 0% |
| Player 8 | 0% |
| Player 9 | 0% |
| Player 10 | 0% |
| Player 11 | 0% |
| Player 12 | 0% |
| Player 13 | 0% |
| Player 14 | 0% |
| Player 15 | 0% |
| Player 16 | 0% |
| Player 17 | 0% |
| Player 18 | 0% |
| Player 19 | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
The Wyndham Championship has reached the point where the winner contract is either live or already settled by the official leaderboard, and a 0% YES price implies the crowd has effectively ruled out every listed player in the field. That is unusual but not unprecedented in a golf outright market, because these contracts are highly sensitive to late withdrawals, missed cuts, and the tour’s “official winner” rule if a playoff or tie occurs.[4][5][12]
Historically, this tournament is one where market pricing can diverge sharply from final outcome because it sits on a short, scoreable course and often features a deep, volatile field rather than a single overwhelming favourite. In 2026, the published sportsbook board still had Cameron Young at 8/1, with Jackson Koivun at 22/1 and Hideki Matsuyama, Ben Griffin and others clustered behind him, while analyst previews also leaned on a handful of top names rather than a blanket field view.[9][13] Against that backdrop, a 0% prediction-market quote is far more extreme than the sportsbook consensus and suggests either a post-event settlement state or a market that has already priced the listed runners as having no viable path.
The main catalysts to watch are official withdrawals, leaderboard status, and any confirmation from the PGA Tour’s result feed, because the market description says it resolves to “No” if a listed player is eliminated from contention and to “Other” if an unlisted player wins.[1][5][14] The PGA Tour and tournament organisers had already published multiple late field changes before the event, including withdrawals by Patrick Cantlay, Daniel Berger, Garrick Higgo and Taylor Moore, which shows how quickly the relevant set of contenders can change in this contract.[5][6] The event was scheduled for 6–9 August at Sedgefield Country Club, so the decisive dependency is the official winner once play ends, not pre-event sentiment.[4][7]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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