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PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner

How the prediction-market book is pricing "PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Michael Brennan 96% Beau Hossler 2% Sung-Jae Im 2% Maverick McNealy 2% Volume: $272K Liquidity: $646K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Brennan96%
Beau Hossler2%
Sung-Jae Im2%
Maverick McNealy2%
Zach Bauchou1%
Patrick Cantlay1%
Bud Cauley1%
Davis Chatfield1%
Trace Crowe1%
Joel Dahmen1%
Nicolas Echavarria1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Max Greyserman1%
Harry Hall1%
Rico Hoey1%
Tom Hoge1%
Rasmus Hojgaard1%
Billy Horschel1%
Benjamin James1%
Tom Kim1%
Chris Kirk1%
Patton Kizzire1%
Brooks Koepka1%
Ben Kohles1%
Jackson Koivun1%
Matt McCarty1%
Alexander Noren1%
Andrew Novak1%
Thorbjorn Olesen1%
John Parry1%
Marco Penge1%
Chandler Phillips1%
Aaron Rai1%
Kihei Akina0%
Daniel Berger0%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout0%
Chandler Blanchet0%
Keegan Bradley0%
Blades Brown0%
Daniel Brown0%
Brian Campbell0%
Rafael Campos0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Luke Clanton0%
Eric Cole0%
Tyler Collet0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Cam Davis0%
Jason Day0%
Ze-Cheng Dou0%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart0%
Nick Dunlap0%
Austin Eckroat0%
Harris English0%
A.J. Ewart0%
Tony Finau0%
Patrick Fishburn0%
Steven Fisk0%
Brice Garnett0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Doug Ghim0%
Lucas Glover0%
Ben Griffin0%
Emiliano Grillo0%
Brian Harman0%
Garrick Higgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Kensei Hirata0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Lee Hodges0%
Cooper Hrabak0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Mackenzie Hughes0%
Stephan Jaeger0%
Takumi Kanaya0%
Jeffrey Kang0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Michael Kim0%
Christo Lamprecht0%
Henry Lebioda0%
Hao-Tong Li0%
David Lipsky0%
Peter Malnati0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Stefano Mazzoli0%
Denny McCarthy0%
Max McGreevy0%
Mac Meissner0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Taylor Moore0%
William Mouw0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
Pontus Nyholm0%
Cheng Tsung Pan0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Taylor Pendrith0%
JT Poston0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Seamus Power0%
Andrew Putnam0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

The Wyndham Championship has reached the point where the winner contract is either live or already settled by the official leaderboard, and a 0% YES price implies the crowd has effectively ruled out every listed player in the field. That is unusual but not unprecedented in a golf outright market, because these contracts are highly sensitive to late withdrawals, missed cuts, and the tour’s “official winner” rule if a playoff or tie occurs.[4][5][12]

Historically, this tournament is one where market pricing can diverge sharply from final outcome because it sits on a short, scoreable course and often features a deep, volatile field rather than a single overwhelming favourite. In 2026, the published sportsbook board still had Cameron Young at 8/1, with Jackson Koivun at 22/1 and Hideki Matsuyama, Ben Griffin and others clustered behind him, while analyst previews also leaned on a handful of top names rather than a blanket field view.[9][13] Against that backdrop, a 0% prediction-market quote is far more extreme than the sportsbook consensus and suggests either a post-event settlement state or a market that has already priced the listed runners as having no viable path.

The main catalysts to watch are official withdrawals, leaderboard status, and any confirmation from the PGA Tour’s result feed, because the market description says it resolves to “No” if a listed player is eliminated from contention and to “Other” if an unlisted player wins.[1][5][14] The PGA Tour and tournament organisers had already published multiple late field changes before the event, including withdrawals by Patrick Cantlay, Daniel Berger, Garrick Higgo and Taylor Moore, which shows how quickly the relevant set of contenders can change in this contract.[5][6] The event was scheduled for 6–9 August at Sedgefield Country Club, so the decisive dependency is the official winner once play ends, not pre-event sentiment.[4][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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