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National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi

Live odds for "National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 8.5 75% National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 9.5 75% National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 Winner 74% National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi 73% Volume: $317K Liquidity: $405K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 8.575%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 9.575%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 Winner74%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi73%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 21.569%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 Winner62%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 22.559%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 23.550%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Set Handicap +/-1.545%
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi Total Sets: O/U 2.541%

Market context

Market consensus: 75% chance of national bank open: nuno borges vs luciano darderi. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Luciano Darderi in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page reviews National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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