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Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax

Five-platform snapshot of "Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

56% YES 44% NO Volume: $115K Liquidity: $13K Closes: 15 Jun 2026
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Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Best Prediction Markets Pick
polygram.ink
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Best Prediction Markets →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.

Active sub-markets

Market context

Market consensus: 56% chance of lyon: thomas faurel vs florent bax. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Faurel and Florent Bax in the Lyon, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas F…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?
Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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