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Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Five-platform snapshot of "Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild 100% Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 Winner 100% Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $238K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 Winner100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 21.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 22.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 23.5100%
Completed Match99%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 Winner0%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to cordenons: matyas fule vs thiago seyboth wild. This market refers to the tennis match between Matyas Fule and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matyas Fule' if …

Methodology

We track Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild on Best Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

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