Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of canadian open, qualification: marcos giron vs pablo llamas ruiz. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Canadian Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Pablo … on Best Prediction Markets
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