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Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 21.5 75% Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 22.5 71% Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 23.5 60% Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys 56% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $413K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 21.575%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 22.571%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 23.560%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys56%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner56%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Set 2 Winner56%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.551%
Completed Match50%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Total Sets: O/U 2.547%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 10.545%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 9.544%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 9.539%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-1.534%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 10.534%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, generali open: yannick hanfmann vs quentin halys stands at 75% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Quentin Halys in the Generali Open, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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