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Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5 56% Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.5 56% Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 55% Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner 53% Volume: $112K Liquidity: $67K Closes: 6 Oct 2026
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Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.556%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.556%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina55%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner53%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner51%
Completed Match50%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.550%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.545%
Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.530%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 56% probability to chengdu open: hubert hurkacz vs alejandro davidovich fokina. This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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