Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat | 0% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of liberec: zdenek kolar vs jan kumstat. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Zdenek Kolar and Jan Kumstat in the Liberec, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zdene…
Methodology
We track Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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