Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, japan open tennis championships, qualification: jaume munar vs aleksandar kovacevic stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Jaume Munar and Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 20…
Methodology
This page reviews Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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