Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 0% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, plovdiv 3: pol martin tiffon vs oleksandr ovcharenko stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Pol Martin Tiffon and Oleksandr Ovcharenko in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
This page reviews Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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