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US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Total Sets: O/U 3.5 68% US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 8.5 67% US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 9.5 61% US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 36.5 60% Volume: $164K Liquidity: $508K Closes: 8 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Total Sets: O/U 3.568%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 8.567%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 9.561%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 36.560%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 38.560%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak56%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 3 Winner54%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 Winner53%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 Winner53%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-0.553%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 10.541%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-1.539%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Total Sets: O/U 4.532%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-1.530%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-2.519%
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-2.514%

Market context

US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak — current market-implied probability: 68%. This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Kamil Majchrzak in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valenti…

Methodology

This page reviews US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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