Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch | 0% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of generali open: adolfo vallejo vs kilian feldbausch. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Kilian Feldbausch in the Generali Open, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch on Best Prediction Markets
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