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US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo 83% US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 78% US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner 72% US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner 70% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $382K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo83%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.578%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner72%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner70%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 Winner69%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.567%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.560%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 3.556%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 36.552%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 38.547%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-2.541%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-6.539%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 40.539%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.534%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 4.523%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 83% YES probability for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Tabilo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexand…

Methodology

This page reviews US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets