Clube do Remo vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Clube do Remo against Atlético Mineiro finished with the sides level in Belém, and that is the main comparison point for reading the **0% YES** price on the broader “More Markets” contract. The live-market print is far below the sort of pre-match pricing suggested by external odds models: FootyStats showed roughly even-looking match odds of Remo 2.92, draw 3.22 and Atlético Mineiro 2.57, while another model put Atlético Mineiro only a modest favourite at 41.2%, with Remo and the draw both near 29%.[3][14] On that basis, a zero-implied probability on an undefined “more markets” outcome looks like a very hard sceptical stance relative to the market’s own 1X2 balance, although the exact contract wording still matters because this market is not the match result itself. In comparable meetings, the teams have split results with one draw in the last three encounters, and their February league meeting ended 3-3, which underlines why secondary markets tied to goals or live events have tended to be volatile.[1][7][9]

The main catalysts are straightforward: team news, late line-up changes and any dependency on the final match state at settlement. The fixture was scheduled for 8 August at Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença in Belém, so any market tied to cards, corners, goals or player appearances would have been driven by the confirmed match-day squads and the game script rather than by long-range form alone.[2][18] For cross-platform comparison, sportsbook models were not unanimous but did lean towards a competitive game rather than a one-sided away win, while the prediction-market quote at 0% YES implies either a very narrow settlement definition or a sizeable gap between the contract and the consensus around the underlying match.[3][14]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.