Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cruzeiro EC | 100% |
| SC Internacional | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
SC Internacional’s home meeting with Cruzeiro EC in Brazil Série A has to be read against a long-standing, fairly balanced head-to-head: SoccerPunter’s H2H page shows Internacional and Cruzeiro priced at 129 for the home win, 240 for the draw and 235 for the away win, which implies the market has historically treated the fixture as one with a modest home lean rather than a clear mismatch.[1] That matters for a prediction market showing **0% YES** on the contract, because such an extreme price is far outside the kind of distribution suggested by those comparative odds and would usually only be justified by a strong event-specific assumption, not by the teams’ baseline relationship alone.[1]
For traders, the key catalysts are the usual late team-news items: confirmed line-ups, injuries, suspensions, and any rotation caused by schedule density, especially if either club has overlapping cup or continental commitments around the same week. Because the market settles at 2026-07-23T00:30:00Z, the final pre-kickoff and in-play information flow should matter more than older sentiment, and any meaningful move in sportsbook prices versus the current near-zero prediction-market implied probability would likely come from a late breaking absence, venue change, or an unexpectedly strong consensus shift in the hours before kick-off.[1]
Sources: 1
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $272K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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