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São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 84% CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5 63% São Paulo FC O/U 0.5 59% O/U 1.5 55% Volume: $182K Liquidity: $280K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
Open live market →
São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.584%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.563%
São Paulo FC O/U 0.559%
O/U 1.555%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
São Paulo FC (-4.5)50%
São Paulo FC (-5.5)50%
São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 0.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 0.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 1.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 2.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
2nd Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 4.550%
São Paulo FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
São Paulo FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
São Paulo FC 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
São Paulo FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
CR Vasco da Gama (-4.5)49%
CR Vasco da Gama (-5.5)49%
1st Half O/U 0.539%
Both Teams to Score38%
O/U 2.528%
São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 1.527%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.525%
São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 2.525%
São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 3.525%
São Paulo FC O/U 1.521%
São Paulo FC O/U 4.520%
São Paulo FC O/U 5.520%
1st Half O/U 3.516%
1st Half O/U 4.516%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 4.514%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 5.514%
CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)13%
O/U 3.511%
São Paulo FC (-1.5)10%
Both Teams to Score in First Half10%
1st Half O/U 1.59%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.58%
São Paulo FC O/U 2.56%
CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)4%
O/U 4.54%
São Paulo FC (-2.5)3%
1st Half O/U 2.52%
São Paulo FC (-3.5)1%
CR Vasco da Gama (-3.5)1%
O/U 5.51%
O/U 6.51%
São Paulo FC O/U 3.51%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 3.51%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 84% chance of são paulo fc vs. cr vasco da gama - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for October 17 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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