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FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 99% FC Bayern München O/U 0.5 95% O/U 1.5 94% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 90% Volume: $102K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.599%
FC Bayern München O/U 0.595%
O/U 1.594%
2nd Half O/U 0.590%
1st Half O/U 0.586%
FC Bayern München O/U 1.586%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half O/U 0.584%
O/U 2.581%
2nd Half O/U 1.569%
FC Bayern München (-1.5)68%
FC Bayern München O/U 2.567%
O/U 3.562%
FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 0.560%
FC Schalke 04 O/U 0.559%
Both Teams to Score57%
1st Half O/U 1.556%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half O/U 1.555%
FC Bayern München 1st Half (-2.5)51%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
FC Schalke 04 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
FC Schalke 04 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
FC Schalke 04 1st Half (-2.5)49%
FC Bayern München (-2.5)47%
FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.544%
O/U 4.542%
2nd Half O/U 2.542%
FC Schalke 04 2nd Half O/U 0.539%
FC Bayern München 1st Half (-1.5)35%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half32%
FC Schalke 04 1st Half O/U 0.530%
1st Half O/U 2.528%
O/U 5.525%
Both Teams to Score in First Half23%
FC Schalke 04 O/U 1.523%
FC Schalke 04 1st Half O/U 1.523%
FC Schalke 04 2nd Half O/U 1.59%
FC Schalke 04 O/U 2.56%
FC Schalke 04 (-1.5)2%
FC Schalke 04 1st Half (-1.5)2%
FC Schalke 04 (-2.5)1%

Market context

Market consensus: 99% chance of fc schalke 04 vs. fc bayern münchen - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:30 PM ET.

Methodology

We track FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports