Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| Memphis O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Memphis O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Memphis 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Memphis O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Memphis O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Memphis O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 91% |
| O/U 52.5 | 90% |
| Spread -2.5 | 83% |
| Spread -3.5 | 77% |
| Spread -7.5 | 74% |
| O/U 53.5 | 74% |
| O/U 56.5 | 71% |
| O/U 62.5 | 71% |
| Spread -5.5 | 69% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| O/U 54.5 | 59% |
| Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| Spread -9.5 | 58% |
| Spread -11.5 | 58% |
| Spread -10.5 | 57% |
| Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| Boise State O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sire Gaines: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylin Carter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Manny Covey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marcus Stokes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Maddux Madsen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cameron Bates: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Juelz Goff: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tychaun Chapman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darren Morris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Wagner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ben Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Tipton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rasean Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brady Kluse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quinton Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dallan Hayden: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jermane Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Akeem Wright: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aidan O'Callaghan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jemyri Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Alante Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Memphis O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Memphis 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| O/U 74.5 | 48% |
| Spread -16.5 | 47% |
| Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| Spread -24.5 | 46% |
| Spread -20.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| O/U 68.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| Memphis vs. Boise State | 6% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to memphis vs. boise state. In the upcoming college football game between Memphis and Boise State, scheduled for September 12 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game. This market will resolve …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $267K.
Methodology
We track Memphis vs. Boise State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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