Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -16.5 | 93% |
| O/U 36.5 | 93% |
| Spread -17.5 | 92% |
| Spread -20.5 | 89% |
| Spread -21.5 | 87% |
| O/U 40.5 | 87% |
| O/U 42.5 | 84% |
| Spread -24.5 | 82% |
| Spread -1.5 | 81% |
| O/U 38.5 | 81% |
| Spread -6.5 | 80% |
| Spread -27.5 | 77% |
| Spread -7.5 | 72% |
| O/U 48.5 | 71% |
| O/U 44.5 | 68% |
| Spread -0.5 | 67% |
| Spread -31.5 | 65% |
| O/U 46.5 | 65% |
| O/U 50.5 | 64% |
| Sacramento State O/U 41.5 | 61% |
| Sacramento State O/U 44.5 | 61% |
| Sacramento State O/U 45.5 | 61% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 4.5 | 60% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| Sacramento State O/U 47.5 | 60% |
| Sacramento State O/U 42.5 | 60% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 2.5 | 60% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 5.5 | 60% |
| Spread -34.5 | 59% |
| O/U 52.5 | 59% |
| Spread: Sacramento State (-35.5) | 56% |
| O/U 54.5 | 55% |
| Spread -14.5 | 54% |
| Spread -36.5 | 53% |
| Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| Spread -37.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 51% |
| Sacramento State O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Sacramento State O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Sacramento State O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 47% |
| Sacramento State O/U 48.5 | 47% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 8.5 | 47% |
| O/U 58.5 | 44% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| Sacramento State O/U 53.5 | 39% |
| Sacramento State O/U 51.5 | 39% |
| Sacramento State O/U 54.5 | 39% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 11.5 | 39% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| O/U 60.5 | 38% |
| Sacramento State O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| O/U 62.5 | 34% |
| O/U 76.5 | 30% |
| O/U 64.5 | 29% |
| O/U 66.5 | 23% |
| O/U 70.5 | 20% |
| O/U 68.5 | 18% |
| O/U 72.5 | 12% |
| O/U 74.5 | 11% |
| Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State | 1% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, mississippi valley state vs. sacramento state stands at 93% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00PM ET: If Mississippi Valley State wins, the market will resolve to "Mississippi Valley State". If Sacramen…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $224K.
Methodology
This page reviews Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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