Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Oregon vs. Oklahoma State | 95% |
| Spread -0.5 | 94% |
| Spread -1.5 | 93% |
| Spread -2.5 | 92% |
| Spread -3.5 | 90% |
| 1H Moneyline | 89% |
| Spread -4.5 | 88% |
| Spread -5.5 | 87% |
| O/U 39.5 | 87% |
| Spread -6.5 | 86% |
| Spread -7.5 | 83% |
| O/U 41.5 | 82% |
| Spread -9.5 | 81% |
| Spread -8.5 | 79% |
| O/U 43.5 | 79% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 79% |
| Spread -10.5 | 77% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 8.5 | 76% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| Spread -13.5 | 73% |
| O/U 45.5 | 73% |
| Oregon O/U 32.5 | 71% |
| Oregon O/U 33.5 | 70% |
| Spread -14.5 | 69% |
| O/U 47.5 | 69% |
| Spread -16.5 | 67% |
| Spread -15.5 | 67% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 10.5 | 66% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 11.5 | 66% |
| Oregon O/U 34.5 | 65% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 12.5 | 65% |
| O/U 49.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 64% |
| Spread -17.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 63% |
| Spread: Oregon (-18.5) | 62% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 61% |
| Oregon O/U 35.5 | 60% |
| Spread -19.5 | 59% |
| Oregon O/U 36.5 | 59% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 13.5 | 59% |
| Spread -20.5 | 58% |
| O/U 51.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 20.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 55% |
| Oregon O/U 37.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 55% |
| Spread -21.5 | 54% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 54% |
| Spread -22.5 | 53% |
| O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 53% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 18.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| Spread -23.5 | 52% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Dante Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Da'Jaun Riggs: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Oregon O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Jordon Davison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dierre Hill Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamari Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeremiah McClellan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dakorien Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Evan Stewart: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Wyatt Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Justin Bowick: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Barnes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Miles Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Drew Mestemaker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Simeon Price: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tre Page III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gatlin Bair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ayo Adeyi: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kendre Harrison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Kolb: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rodney Harris II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Terrence Lewis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 21.5 | 48% |
| Oregon O/U 40.5 | 48% |
| Oregon O/U 38.5 | 48% |
| O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| Oregon O/U 39.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 47% |
| Spread -24.5 | 46% |
| O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| O/U 56.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Spread -25.5 | 44% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 43% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Oregon O/U 41.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| Spread -26.5 | 42% |
| O/U 58.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 41% |
| Oregon O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -27.5 | 40% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| O/U 59.5 | 38% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 18.5 | 38% |
| O/U 60.5 | 37% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 37% |
| Oregon O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Oregon O/U 42.5 | 36% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| Spread -28.5 | 36% |
| Oregon O/U 43.5 | 35% |
| Spread -29.5 | 35% |
| O/U 61.5 | 34% |
| Spread -30.5 | 33% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Oregon O/U 44.5 | 32% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 20.5 | 32% |
| Spread -31.5 | 30% |
| O/U 63.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 28% |
| Oregon O/U 45.5 | 27% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 21.5 | 27% |
| Spread -32.5 | 27% |
| Oregon O/U 46.5 | 26% |
| Spread -34.5 | 25% |
| O/U 65.5 | 25% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 22.5 | 25% |
| O/U 67.5 | 22% |
| Spread -37.5 | 19% |
| O/U 69.5 | 18% |
| Spread -38.5 | 16% |
| O/U 71.5 | 15% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| Spread -40.5 | 14% |
| Spread -41.5 | 12% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Spread -44.5 | 9% |
| O/U 77.5 | 8% |
| O/U 79.5 | 7% |
Market context
Market consensus: 95% chance of oregon vs. oklahoma state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Oregon and Oklahoma State, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. This…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $83K.
Methodology
We track Oregon vs. Oklahoma State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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