Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 34.5 | 95% |
| Spread -23.5 | 95% |
| Spread -7.5 | 94% |
| O/U 36.5 | 94% |
| Spread -26.5 | 94% |
| Spread -20.5 | 93% |
| Spread -17.5 | 92% |
| Spread -24.5 | 92% |
| Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| O/U 38.5 | 91% |
| Spread -13.5 | 90% |
| Spread -16.5 | 90% |
| Spread -27.5 | 90% |
| O/U 40.5 | 89% |
| Spread -5.5 | 87% |
| Spread -29.5 | 87% |
| Spread -30.5 | 87% |
| O/U 42.5 | 84% |
| Spread -31.5 | 83% |
| O/U 44.5 | 81% |
| Spread -33.5 | 80% |
| Spread -34.5 | 77% |
| Spread -14.5 | 76% |
| O/U 46.5 | 76% |
| Spread -8.5 | 75% |
| Spread -21.5 | 75% |
| Spread -0.5 | 74% |
| Spread -1.5 | 74% |
| Spread -2.5 | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 74% |
| Spread -6.5 | 74% |
| Spread -10.5 | 74% |
| Spread -35.5 | 74% |
| Rice O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| Spread -36.5 | 73% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 73% |
| Rice O/U 2.5 | 72% |
| Notre Dame O/U 42.5 | 72% |
| Notre Dame O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Spread -37.5 | 71% |
| O/U 48.5 | 68% |
| Spread -38.5 | 68% |
| Spread -39.5 | 65% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 65% |
| O/U 50.5 | 64% |
| Spread -40.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 63% |
| Notre Dame O/U 45.5 | 63% |
| Notre Dame O/U 46.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 62% |
| Spread -41.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 61% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 59% |
| O/U 52.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 56% |
| Notre Dame O/U 48.5 | 56% |
| Spread -42.5 | 56% |
| O/U 54.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 54% |
| Spread -43.5 | 54% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 53% |
| Spread -44.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -16.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Rice O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyvonn Byars: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jacurri Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braylen Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Payton Matthews: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DAndre Hardeman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davis Lane Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ben Grice: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Morgan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Max Mosey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame O/U 49.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| Rice O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| Spread -45.5 | 47% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 30.5 | 46% |
| Notre Dame O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| O/U 56.5 | 45% |
| Spread -46.5 | 45% |
| Spread -47.5 | 44% |
| Rice O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| Rice 1H O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| O/U 58.5 | 40% |
| Notre Dame O/U 52.5 | 39% |
| Spread -48.5 | 39% |
| Notre Dame O/U 54.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -28.5 | 36% |
| Spread -49.5 | 36% |
| O/U 60.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -29.5 | 35% |
| Notre Dame O/U 55.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -22.5 | 34% |
| Spread -50.5 | 34% |
| Spread -51.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| O/U 62.5 | 29% |
| Spread -52.5 | 28% |
| Rice O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| Rice O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| O/U 64.5 | 24% |
| Spread -54.5 | 24% |
| Rice O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| O/U 66.5 | 18% |
| Spread -57.5 | 17% |
| Spread -58.5 | 17% |
| O/U 68.5 | 16% |
| Rice O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Rice O/U 10.5 | 14% |
| Rice O/U 12.5 | 13% |
| O/U 70.5 | 12% |
| Spread -60.5 | 12% |
| Spread -61.5 | 12% |
| O/U 72.5 | 11% |
| O/U 74.5 | 9% |
| Spread -64.5 | 6% |
| Rice vs. Notre Dame | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 95% chance of rice vs. notre dame. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Rice and Notre Dame, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rice" if Rice win the game. This market wil…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $115K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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