Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread: Fresno State (-18.5) | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -24.5 | 100% |
| Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| Spread -31.5 | 100% |
| Spread -34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| Spread -19.5 | 100% |
| Spread -22.5 | 100% |
| Spread -23.5 | 100% |
| Spread -25.5 | 100% |
| Spread -26.5 | 100% |
| Spread -28.5 | 100% |
| Spread -32.5 | 100% |
| Spread -35.5 | 100% |
| Spread -38.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| Rayshon Luke: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Bryson Donelson: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Jayden Mandal: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Ezekiel Avit: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Josiah Freeman: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Jamar Curtis: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Cincere Rhaney: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Jahlil McClain: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Jake Appleget: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Harold Duvall: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Jace Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Elias Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Jackson Sharman: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Jordan Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Sacramento State vs. Fresno State | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Tariq Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Matthew Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Onterrio Smith Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Kenyon Shabazz: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of sacramento state vs. fresno state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Sacramento State and Fresno State, scheduled for September 12 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacrame…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $48K.
Methodology
We track Sacramento State vs. Fresno State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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