Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 34.5 | 90% |
| O/U 40.5 | 86% |
| Spread -0.5 | 81% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| O/U 32.5 | 79% |
| Spread -2.5 | 77% |
| Spread -3.5 | 73% |
| O/U 38.5 | 73% |
| O/U 46.5 | 72% |
| Spread -4.5 | 71% |
| O/U 36.5 | 71% |
| Spread -5.5 | 69% |
| Spread -6.5 | 67% |
| O/U 42.5 | 67% |
| O/U 48.5 | 65% |
| O/U 49.5 | 62% |
| Spread -7.5 | 62% |
| Spread -8.5 | 61% |
| O/U 50.5 | 60% |
| O/U 44.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| UCLA O/U 31.5 | 57% |
| O/U 51.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| O/U 52.5 | 55% |
| Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| San Diego State O/U 20.5 | 52% |
| Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| O/U 54.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| UCLA O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| UCLA O/U 40.5 | 49% |
| San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| Spread -12.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| San Diego State O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| O/U 56.5 | 45% |
| UCLA O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Spread -16.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| O/U 58.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -17.5 | 38% |
| O/U 66.5 | 37% |
| O/U 60.5 | 36% |
| O/U 62.5 | 36% |
| 2H Moneyline | 34% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 34% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 34% |
| San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 33% |
| O/U 68.5 | 32% |
| UCLA O/U 37.5 | 32% |
| Spread -20.5 | 30% |
| O/U 72.5 | 28% |
| Spread -21.5 | 26% |
| O/U 64.5 | 25% |
| 1H Moneyline | 25% |
| Spread -24.5 | 22% |
| San Diego State vs. UCLA | 20% |
| Spread -27.5 | 17% |
| Spread -34.5 | 16% |
| O/U 70.5 | 16% |
| Spread -31.5 | 13% |
Market context
San Diego State vs. UCLA — current market-implied probability: 90%. In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and UCLA, scheduled for September 12 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. This mar…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $124K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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