Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 97% |
| O/U 42.5 | 94% |
| Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| Spread -7.5 | 88% |
| Spread -6.5 | 87% |
| O/U 48.5 | 85% |
| Spread -10.5 | 76% |
| UAB O/U 13.5 | 76% |
| Illinois O/U 34.5 | 73% |
| Spread -14.5 | 72% |
| UAB O/U 16.5 | 72% |
| Spread -13.5 | 69% |
| UAB O/U 19.5 | 69% |
| O/U 54.5 | 68% |
| Illinois O/U 37.5 | 65% |
| O/U 55.5 | 63% |
| O/U 56.5 | 61% |
| Spread -17.5 | 60% |
| Spread -16.5 | 59% |
| Illinois O/U 42.5 | 59% |
| UAB O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| UAB O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Illinois O/U 41.5 | 56% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 56% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| UAB 1H O/U 4.5 | 56% |
| UAB 1H O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| UAB 1H O/U 8.5 | 56% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 20.5 | 56% |
| UAB 1H O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| UAB 1H O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| UAB 1H O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| O/U 38.5 | 55% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Spread -5.5 | 54% |
| Illinois O/U 45.5 | 54% |
| Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 53% |
| Illinois O/U 48.5 | 52% |
| O/U 58.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread: Illinois (-28.5) | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| O/U 76.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 48% |
| O/U 60.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| Spread -21.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 45% |
| 1H Moneyline | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 21.5 | 45% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 45% |
| Spread -26.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 43% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 23.5 | 40% |
| O/U 66.5 | 39% |
| Spread -24.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| O/U 72.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 25% |
| Spread -27.5 | 24% |
| UAB vs. Illinois | 6% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 22.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
The UAB vs. Illinois prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 3 at 9:00PM ET: If UAB wins, the market will resolve to "UAB". If Illinois wins, the market will resolve to "Illinois". If the game is po…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $100K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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