Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Western Michigan O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Western Michigan O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Western Michigan O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Western Michigan 1H O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Western Michigan 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Western Michigan 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Western Michigan O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michigan O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Marshall: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Savion Hiter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryce Underwood: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Broc Lowry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Buckley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JJ Buchanan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Andrew Marsh: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryson Kuzdzal: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zack Marshall: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cole Cabana: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hogan Hansen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Salesi Moa: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aveion Chenault: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaime Ffrench: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Baylin Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Green: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Adam Parks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Harper Hughes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kendrick Bell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Emazon Littlejohn: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Western Michigan O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michigan O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michigan O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michigan O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan vs. Michigan | 0% |
| Spread: Michigan (-28.5) | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| O/U 50.5 | 0% |
| O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| Western Michigan O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Western Michigan O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Western Michigan 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 2H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Western Michigan 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Western Michigan 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to western michigan vs. michigan. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:30PM ET: If Western Michigan wins, the market will resolve to "Western Michigan". If Michigan wins, the market will resolve to "Mi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $304K.
Methodology
We track Western Michigan vs. Michigan across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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