Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 94% |
| GKS GieKSa Katowice O/U 0.5 | 79% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 78% |
| O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| MH Hapoel Tel Aviv O/U 0.5 | 69% |
| GKS GieKSa Katowice 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 57% |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% |
| O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| MH Hapoel Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| GKS GieKSa Katowice 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| GKS GieKSa Katowice O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| MH Hapoel Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| MH Hapoel Tel Aviv O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 25% |
| GKS GieKSa Katowice (-1.5) | 21% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 20% |
| GKS GieKSa Katowice 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Team to Advance | 18% |
| GKS GieKSa Katowice O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| MH Hapoel Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| GKS GieKSa Katowice 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 14% |
| O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| MH Hapoel Tel Aviv (-1.5) | 11% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| MH Hapoel Tel Aviv O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| MH Hapoel Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| GKS GieKSa Katowice (-2.5) | 8% |
| O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| MH Hapoel Tel Aviv (-2.5) | 3% |
Market context
GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 94%. More markets for the UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for August 12 at 12:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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